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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Europa League SC Freiburg — Genk
World   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Thu 19 Mar · 17:45
5:1
Full-time
Genk
Genk
W W D W L Away · last 5
Referee Michael Oliver, England
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 31% · book 4.00
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 63% · book 1.82
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 38% · book 3.10
Total goals
6
5 · 1
xG (open play)
1.95 – 1.06
Δ +0.89
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 16
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.82 — +15.0% better than the market.

SC Freiburg vs Genk shapes up as a lively and competitive game, but the home side still holds the stronger overall position. Freiburg are more comfortable on their own ground and should be able to create enough pressure to stay in control for long stretches, even if they do not fully dominate the match. Genk arrive in better recent form and carry enough attacking threat to make this far from straightforward, so the visitors should have moments where they can hurt the home defence.

The most likely match script is an open contest with goals at both ends rather than a cagey tactical battle. Freiburg deserve to start as favourites because of venue and game control, but Genk look capable of staying dangerous throughout. That makes goal-based markets more attractive than aggressive handicap positions, with the home side still slightly more likely to edge the result than the raw price on the away side suggests.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.82 ✓ Cashed
AI 63% Implied 55% +0.82u
+82%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

FRE 51 GEN
46%
Possession (%)
54%
1.95
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.06
14
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
5
11
Shots Inside Box
8
3
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
7
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
5
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 8 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 1.5 4.00 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.82 63% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.10 38% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
BTTS No 2.05 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.83 61% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.18 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.75 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.32 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.40 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.64 58% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.23 58% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
AH Away 0 4.19 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.17 81% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.26 69% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.45 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 86% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 8 L −2.90u −18% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS Yes
FRE – GEN @ 1.82
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →