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Home › Switzerland › Super League › FC ST. Gallen — FC Lugano

Predictions by Market: FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
Home · last 5 W L W W D
Kick-off
Tue 17 Mar · 18:00
1:1
Full-time
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
W W L D W Away · last 5
Kybunpark · St.Gallen Referee Anojen Kanagasingam, Switzerland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GAL
54%
Best 1.96
Draw
25%
Best 3.60
Away Win · LUG
21%
Best 3.50
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.43
Fair odds
2.29
book 2.43 · +6.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 44% · EV +6.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (56%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 54.3%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.9%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 20.8%
Odds 3.53
Show model details
Implied probability 28.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33.2%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.6%
Odds 4.42
Show model details
Implied probability 22.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.6%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 20.8%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 45.7%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
GAL – LUG @ 2.43
+6.2%
Edge
Forecast →