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Home Switzerland Super League FC ST. Gallen — FC Lugano

Predictions FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano March 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
Home · last 5 W L W W D
Kick-off
Tue 17 Mar · 18:00
1:1
Full-time
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
W W L D W Away · last 5
Kybunpark · St. Gallen Referee Anojen Kanagasingam, Switzerland
Home Win · GAL
54%
Best 1.96
Draw
25%
Best 3.60
Away Win · LUG
21%
Best 3.50
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.43
Fair odds
2.29
book 2.43 · +6.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 44% · EV +6.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (56%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 54.3%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.9%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 20.8%
Odds 3.53
Show model details
Implied probability 28.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.2%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22.6%
Odds 4.42
Show model details
Implied probability 22.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.6%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 20.8%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 45.7%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
GAL – LUG @ 2.43
+6.2%
Edge
Forecast →