Match FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano March 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.43 — +6.2% better than the market.

FC St. Gallen arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a strong recent run and a notable edge in overall quality. Their attacking prowess matches well against Lugano's defense, suggesting they can create meaningful chances. Meanwhile, Lugano's defensive solidity might keep the scoreline tight, but their less consistent form and away struggles hint at a challenging outing.

Home side's offensive edge against away defense
Superior recent form and home comfort
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.43 ✗ Lost

AI 44% Implied 41% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GAL 3-1-4-2 · LUG 3-4-3

GAL · 3-1-4-2 3-4-3 · LUG

14 Balde

📊 Statistics

GAL 1 – 1 LUG

39%

Possession (%)

61%

0.64

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.58

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC ST. Gallen and FC Lugano drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 84% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.58 units (Brier 0.170).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.14	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.43	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.23	—	45%	Cashed	+1.23	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.69	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.66	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.62	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.82	—	46%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.63	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.33	—	79%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	67%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	56%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.42	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	77%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Cashed	+2.70	Cashed
Away Win	3.53	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.58u	−15% ROI