P
Prognosist
P
Home World UEFA Champions League Real Madrid — Manchester City

Predictions Real Madrid vs Manchester City March 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Wed 11 Mar · 20:00
3:0
Full-time
Manchester City
Manchester City
W L W L L Away · last 5
Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Home Win · REA
28%
Best 3.68
Draw
28%
Best 3.73
Away Win · MCI
44%
Best 2.00
Model pick
Away Win
@ 2.10
Fair odds
2.27
book 2.10 · no edge vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 44%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 44%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 28%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.4%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 5 markets
Over 1.5 Top pick
Probability 84%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 64%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 61.3%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5
Probability 40%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 36%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40.2%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 60%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Medium
Team Totals 2 markets
Home Team Total Over 0.5
Probability 78%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality High
Away Team Total Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 82%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality High
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 66%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality High
BTTS No
Probability 34%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 28%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.6%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 56%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 54.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.