Match FC Lugano vs Lausanne February 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.25 — +12.6% better than the market.

FC Lugano holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a modest home advantage, suggesting a controlled game at Stadio di Cornaredo. Their recent form shows a steady home momentum, while Lausanne’s attack faces a tough defensive setup. Expect a tactical battle with a compact block from Lugano and pressing from Lausanne to create chances.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive pressure
Recent form favors Lugano’s consistency
Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.25 ✗ Lost

AI 50% Implied 44% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LUG 3-4-1-2 · LAU 4-3-1-2

LUG · 3-4-1-2 4-3-1-2 · LAU

9 Koutsias

📊 Statistics

LUG 2 – 1 LAU

57%

Possession (%)

43%

0.71

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.09

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Lugano beat Lausanne 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 8, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.20 units (Brier 0.133).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.25	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.39	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.93	—	50%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.91	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	53%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.66	—	50%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.60	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	71%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.55	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.30	—	74%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.55	—	50%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.90	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.85	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	92%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	74%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.20u	−31% ROI