PAOK come in with stronger momentum and look better equipped to control the game at home, while Celta Vigo arrive in a poorer rhythm and may spend long spells without the ball. The most likely script is PAOK pushing the tempo in spells and creating the cleaner chances, with Celta needing a very compact, counter-focused plan to stay level. If the match opens up, the hosts are better placed to turn pressure into a decisive moment, but a draw stays in play if Celta keep transitions under control.
Celta Vigo won 2–1 away at PAOK. At half-time it was 0–2.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 5, 9 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 8 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.70 units (Brier 0.226).
