Match PAOK vs Celta Vigo February 19, 2026 — Result and Stats
PAOK
Home · last 5
D
W
L
L
L
Kick-off
Thu 19 Feb · 17:45
1:2
Full-time
Referee Ivan Kružliak, Slovakia
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 1.94
✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.10
✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.02
✓
xG (open play)
0.61 – 0.97
Δ −0.36
AI accuracy
8 / 14
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
PAOK come in with stronger momentum and look better equipped to control the game at home, while Celta Vigo arrive in a poorer rhythm and may spend long spells without the ball. The most likely script is PAOK pushing the tempo in spells and creating the cleaner chances, with Celta needing a very compact, counter-focused plan to stay level. If the match opens up, the hosts are better placed to turn pressure into a decisive moment, but a draw stays in play if Celta keep transitions under control.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
⛀ Lineups
PAO 4-2-3-1 · CEL 3-4-3
📊 Statistics
PAO 1
– 2 CEL
0.61
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.97
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
Match recap
Celta Vigo won 2–1 away at PAOK. At half-time it was 0–2.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 5, 9 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 8 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.70 units (Brier 0.226).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
14 · 8 W · 6 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 2.5 |
1.94 |
— |
51% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.10 |
— |
48% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
2.02 |
— |
49% |
Cashed |
+1.02 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
3.46 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
3.25 |
— |
30% |
Cashed |
+2.25 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
2.39 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.07 |
— |
93% |
Cashed |
+0.07 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.31 |
— |
74% |
Cashed |
+0.31 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.35 |
— |
73% |
Cashed |
+0.35 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.75 |
— |
52% |
Cashed |
+0.75 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.40 |
— |
70% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.65 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.65 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.78 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
2.30 |
— |
30% |
Cashed |
+1.30 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 14 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 6 L |
+0.70u |
+5% ROI |
