Romania beat San Marino 7–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 76% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 2, 12 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 4 landed and 9 missed, for a net -8.37 units (Brier 0.104).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 1.95 | — | 88% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 41.00 | — | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 80.00 | — | 3% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 31.00 | — | 5% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 19.00 | — | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 6.00 | — | 25% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 15.00 | — | 10% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 3.15 | — | 45% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 0.5 | 51.00 | — | 2% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 1.04 | — | 92% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.04 | — | 90% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.15 | — | 75% | Cashed | +0.15 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 1.40 | — | 55% | Cashed | +0.40 | Cashed |
| Total · 13 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 4 W · 9 L | −8.37u | −64% ROI |
