Kazakhstan and Belgium drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 77% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 9, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 12 to 5. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 8 landed and 6 missed, for a net +5.46 units (Brier 0.242).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 1.86 | — | 60% | Cashed | +0.86 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 12.00 | — | 12% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 5.15 | — | 28% | Cashed | +4.15 | Cashed |
| AH Home +1 | 4.20 | — | 28% | Cashed | +3.20 | Cashed |
| Under 2.5 | 2.95 | — | 37% | Cashed | +1.95 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 1.80 | — | 58% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 | — | 96% | Cashed | +0.03 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.13 | — | 86% | Cashed | +0.13 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.04 | — | 88% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.42 | — | 63% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 2.10 | — | 42% | Cashed | +1.10 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 22.00 | — | 4% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 2.10 | — | 40% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 1.03 | — | 72% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 14 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 6 L | +5.46u | +39% ROI |
