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Home › World › World Cup - Qualification Europe › Moldova — Italy

Predictions by Market: Moldova vs Italy

World   /   World Cup - Qualification Europe Value pick inside
Moldova
Moldova
Home · last 5 L L D L L
Kick-off
Thu 13 Nov · 19:45
0:2
Full-time
Italy
Italy
W W L W D Away · last 5
Referee Mykola Balakin, Ukraine

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MOL
10%
Best 28.50
Draw
10%
Best 10.60
Away Win · ITA
92%
Best 1.09
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.98
Fair odds
1.82
book 1.98 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 55% · EV +10.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 10%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 92%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Home Win
Probability 10%
Odds 76.00
Show model details
Implied probability 1.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 55%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 32%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 98%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 68%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 12%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 32%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 68%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality High
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away +1 Top pick
Probability 95%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality High
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 92%
Odds 1.01
Show model details
Implied probability 99%
Bet quality High
Other Markets 1 market
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 98%
Odds 1.01
Show model details
Implied probability 99%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
MOL – ITA @ 1.98
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →