P
Prognosist
P
Home Germany Germany Bundesliga VfL Wolfsburg — SC Freiburg

Match VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg December 20, 2025 — Result and Stats

VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
Home · last 5 D L W D L
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 14:30
3:4
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W L D L W Away · last 5
Volkswagen Arena · Wolfsburg Referee Sascha Stegemann, Germany
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.29
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.10
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.86
Total goals
7
3 · 4
xG (open play)
1.78 – 3.66
Δ −1.88
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

SC Freiburg arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away at Volkswagen Arena. Wolfsburg’s defensive solidity faces a stern test against Freiburg’s efficient attack, though the home side’s compact block and set-piece threat could keep the match tight. The pace hints at a moderately open game, with both teams capable of scoring but also cautious in approach.

  • Freiburg’s defensive resilience vs Wolfsburg’s moderate attack
  • Home crowd support may boost Wolfsburg’s discipline
  • Recent form favors Freiburg’s momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

WOL 4-2-3-1 · FRE 4-2-3-1
Subs used · WOL
68' Svanberg ↑ · Majer
80' Lindstrom ↑ · Eriksen
80' Daghim ↑ · Wimmer
88' Burger ↑ · Kumbedi
Subs used · FRE
46' Grifo ↑ · Osterhage
67' Scherhant ↑ · Treu
79' Hofler ↑ · Manzambi
79' Adamu ↑ · Holer
90+1' Matanovic ↑ · Suzuki

📊 Statistics

WOL 34 FRE
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.78
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.66
13
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Target
8
4
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
13
2
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
5
16
Fouls
8
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

18 · 3 – 4
5'
P. Treu
Assist · Y. Suzuki · 0–1
D. Pejcinovic
Assist · P. Wimmer · 1–1
13'
Half-time · 1 – 1
46'
V. Grifo ↓ · P. Osterhage ↑
Substitution 1
D. Pejcinovic
2–1
49'
56'
V. Grifo (P)
Penalty · 2–2
67'
D. Scherhant ↓ · P. Treu ↑
Substitution 2
M. Svanberg ↓ · L. Majer ↑
Substitution 1
68'
D. Pejcinovic
Assist · P. Wimmer · 3–2
69'
71'
J. Seelt
Own goal · 3–3
78'
D. Scherhant
Assist · J. Manzambi · 3–4
79'
N. Hofler ↓ · J. Manzambi ↑
Substitution 3
79'
J. Adamu ↓ · L. Holer ↑
Substitution 4
J. Lindstrom ↓ · C. Eriksen ↑
Substitution 2
80'
A. Daghim ↓ · P. Wimmer ↑
Substitution 3
80'
Maximilian Arnold
Yellow Card
82'
83'
Anthony Jung
Yellow Card
J. Burger ↓ · S. Kumbedi ↑
Substitution 4
88'
90+1'
I. Matanovic ↓ · Y. Suzuki ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 4

Match recap

SC Freiburg won 4–3 away at VfL Wolfsburg. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.66 to 1.78. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2.

On the scoresheet: P. Treu (5'), D. Pejcinovic (13'), D. Pejcinovic (49'), V. Grifo (56'), D. Pejcinovic (69'), J. Seelt (71'), D. Scherhant (78').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.65 units (Brier 0.192).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.29 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.10 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.86 52% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 55% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.06 44% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
Home Win 2.58 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.90 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.58 69% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Away Win 2.82 44% Cashed +1.82 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.42 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.05 30% Cashed +2.05 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.49 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.10 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.40 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.26 76% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Draw 3.66 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.65u −10% ROI