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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC St. Pauli — 1. FC Heidenheim

Predictions by Market: FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 13 Dec · 14:30
2:1
Full-time
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
L W D W L Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Sören Storks, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PAU
43%
Best 1.85
Draw
26%
Best 3.45
Away Win · HEI
31%
Best 4.60
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.20
Fair odds
2.80
book 3.20 · +14.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +14.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (64%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 31.3%
Odds 4.26
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.49
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 61.6%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 35.8%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 81.2%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 12.1%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 18.8%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43.6%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 31.3%
Odds 3.03
Show model details
Implied probability 33%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 42.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
PAU – HEI @ 3.20
+14.4%
Edge
Forecast →