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Home › World › World Cup - Qualification Europe › Belgium — FYR Macedonia

Belgium vs FYR Macedonia 0:0: Match Review & Stats

World   /   World Cup - Qualification Europe Value pick inside
Belgium
Belgium
Home · last 5 W D W D W
Kick-off
Fri 10 Oct · 18:45
0:0
Full-time
FYR Macedonia
FYR Macedonia
W D D L L Away · last 5
Ghelamco Arena · Ghent Referee Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 45% · book 2.50 ✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 7% · book 22.00 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.64 ✗
Total goals
0
0 · 0
Possession
78% – 22%
AI accuracy
1 / 7
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.50 — +12.5% better than the market.

Belgium vs North Macedonia — data-driven preview

Belgium arrive with a clear gap in overall level, strong attacking rhythm and home advantage. North Macedonia have been competitive defensively at times, but the step up in opposition plus Belgium’s depth and pressure cycles should tilt territory and chance volume toward the hosts. With FIFA ranking strength also favoring Belgium (top-10 profile vs mid-tier), our baseline leans a decisive home result with an elevated goal environment. The draw pathway requires prolonged resistance and game-state stall; the away upset is strictly price-driven.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 2.50 ✗ Lost
AI 45% Implied 40% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

BEL 0 – 0 MAC
78%
Possession (%)
22%
25
Total Shots
3
5
Shots on Target
0
8
Shots off Target
1
20
Shots Inside Box
0
13
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
0
15
Fouls
8
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
63%
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Belgium and FYR Macedonia drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 78% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 3, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 13 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 1 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.65 units (Brier 0.426).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 1 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.50 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 22.00 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.64 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.80 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 — 86% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.19 — 83% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 7.65 — 11% Cashed +6.65 Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each — — — 1 W · 6 L +0.65u +9% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
BEL – MAC @ 2.50
+12.5%
Edge
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