Match Malta vs Netherlands October 9, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Malta vs Netherlands — data-driven preview

The matchup profiles as a heavy away tilt. Netherlands bring a much higher overall level and stable recent output, while Malta struggle to sustain threat against top opposition. Expect the visitors to control territory and chance volume, with periods of pressure producing multiple scoring windows. The baseline leans toward a clear away win and an elevated totals environment; only low-frequency scenarios keep the scoreline modest.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MAL 4-2-3-1 · NET 4-3-3

MAL · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · NET

11 Cardona

📊 Statistics

MAL 0 – 4 NET

37%

Possession (%)

63%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

91%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Netherlands won 4–0 away at Malta. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 91% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 7, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 3 landed and 2 missed, for a net -0.95 units (Brier 0.032).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 3 W · 2 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	1.87	—	62%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.11	—	94%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Home Win	56.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	17.07	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.07	—	92%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	3 W · 2 L	−0.95u	−19% ROI