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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayern München — FSV Mainz 05

Predictions by Market: Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayern München
Bayern München
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sun 14 Dec · 16:30
2:2
Full-time
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
D L W L W Away · last 5
Referee Robin Braun, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
86%
Best 1.10
Draw
11%
Best 11.08
Away Win · MAI
3%
Best 21.00
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 8.41
Fair odds
7.32
book 8.41 · +14.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 14% · EV +14.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (97%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 10.8%
Odds 12.74
Show model details
Implied probability 7.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 86.3%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 2.9%
Odds 26.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 41.2%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 90.9%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 9.1%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 53.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 1 market
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 2.9%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 13.7%
Odds 8.41
Show model details
Implied probability 11.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 97.2%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BAY – MAI @ 8.41
+14.9%
Edge
Forecast →