Match FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach December 5, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

Borussia Mönchengladbach enter this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Mainz's defensive solidity at home could keep things tight, but Gladbach's sharper attack and superior overall strength hint at their ability to break through. The moderate pace implied by odds points to a balanced tempo, favoring a controlled game with chances for the visitors.

Gladbach's offensive edge against Mainz's defense
Home side's compact block may limit goals
Recent form favors away momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MAI 3-5-2 · MOE 3-4-2-1

MAI · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · MOE

44 Weiper

Subs used · MAI

66'

Nordin ↑ ·

Mwene ↓

77'

Veratschnig ↑ ·

Widmer ↓

77'

Hollerbach ↑ ·

Moreno Fell ↓

88'

Kawasaki ↑ ·

Jae-Sung ↓

Subs used · MOE

69'

Stoger ↑ ·

Reyna ↓

79'

Ranos ↑ ·

Machino ↓

90+1'

Friedrich ↑ ·

Castrop ↓

📊 Statistics

MAI 0 – 1 MOE

55%

Possession (%)

45%

0.94

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.78

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

11 · 0 – 1

25'

▮

Joseph Scally

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

58'

⚽

D. da Costa

Own goal · Assist · H. Tabakovic · 0–1

A. Nordin ↓ · P. Mwene ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

69'

⇄

K. Stoger ↓ · G. Reyna ↑

Substitution 1

N. Veratschnig ↓ · S. Widmer ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

77'

B. Hollerbach ↓ · F. Moreno Fell ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

79'

⇄

G. Ranos ↓ · S. Machino ↑

Substitution 2

S. Kawasaki ↓ · Lee Jae-Sung ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

88'

Nikolas Veratschnig

Yellow Card

▮

90'

90+1'

⇄

M. Friedrich ↓ · J. Castrop ↑

Substitution 3

Andreas Hanche-Olsen

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1–0 away at FSV Mainz 05. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.78 to 0.94. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 8, 5 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. da Costa (58').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.50 units (Brier 0.234).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.61	—	68%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
BTTS No	2.46	—	43%	Cashed	+1.46	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.25	—	47%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.75	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.16	—	42%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.49	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.81	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.97	—	42%	Cashed	+1.97	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	68%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.58	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.46	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	—	23%	Cashed	+3.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.23	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.61	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.50u	+9% ROI

Match FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach December 5, 2025 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled