Match FC Thun vs FC Luzern December 6, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

FC Thun arrives with a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a stronger attack against FC Luzern's defense. Their recent form shows resilience despite some setbacks, while Luzern's inconsistent away results and defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited. The match hints at a moderate tempo with a balanced goal environment, favoring Thun's pressing edge and set-piece threat.

Home side's offensive strength vs away defense
Better recent form and home comfort
Moderate pace suggests tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

THU 4-2-2-2 · LUZ 3-4-2-1

THU · 4-2-2-2 3-4-2-1 · LUZ

96 Labeau

📊 Statistics

THU 4 – 1 LUZ

43%

Possession (%)

57%

3.34

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.01

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Thun beat FC Luzern 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.34 to 2.01. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 16, 11 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 13 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.10 units (Brier 0.152).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.15	—	54%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
BTTS No	2.71	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.51	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.62	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.48	—	34%	Cashed	+1.48	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.78	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.45	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.38	—	77%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.50	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.58	—	55%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	58%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.58	—	54%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	—	78%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Draw	3.85	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.22	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.10u	−24% ROI