FC Thun hosts Servette FC in a match where the home side is slightly favored. Our model gives FC Thun a 52.02% chance of winning, with odds of 2.24 suggesting a potential edge. The Double Chance 1X market also looks promising with a 75.32% estimated probability. Goals are expected, with Over 2.5 Goals having a 62.65% chance of occurring. Both teams are likely to score, with BTTS Yes at 63.97% probability.
24
Steffen
37
Dahler
19
Bamert
23
Burki
27
Heule
14
Kait
6
Bertone
78
Matoshi
7
Imeri
96
Labeau
18
Ibayi
1
Mall
20
Magnin
4
Rouiller
19
Severin
18
Mazikou
11
Fomba
9
Stevanovic
8
Cognat
10
Antunes
14
Njoh
97
Aye
FC Thun beat Servette FC 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.96 to 1.37. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.37 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.13 units (Brier 0.131).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 2.24 | — | 52% | Cashed | +1.24 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.42 | — | 75% | Cashed | +0.42 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.53 | — | 63% | Cashed | +0.53 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.50 | — | 64% | Cashed | +0.50 | Cashed |
| Under 3.5 | 1.62 | — | 59% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.17 | — | 84% | Cashed | +0.17 | Cashed |
| Draw | 4.00 | — | 23% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 3.00 | — | 25% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 2.70 | — | 36% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 | — | 96% | Cashed | +0.03 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 19.00 | — | 4% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 5.13 | — | 16% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 2.48 | — | 37% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 2.30 | — | 41% | Cashed | +1.30 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.70 | — | 48% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 1.68 | — | 52% | Cashed | +0.68 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 2.21 | — | 25% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 9 L | −4.13u | −24% ROI |