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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayern München — FC St. Pauli

Predictions by Market: Bayern München vs FC St. Pauli

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayern München
Bayern München
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 14:30
3:1
Full-time
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
D L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Felix Zwayer, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
86%
Best 1.11
Draw
12%
Best 10.25
Away Win · PAU
2%
Best 25.50
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 8.00
Fair odds
7.08
book 8.00 · +13.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 14% · EV +13.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (98%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 11.7%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 85.9%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 2.4%
Odds 30.06
Show model details
Implied probability 3.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 45.8%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 10.3%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 25.6%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 97.1%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 89.7%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 74.4%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 2.9%
Odds 29.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 85.9%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 2.4%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 14.1%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 97.6%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BAY – PAU @ 8.00
+13.1%
Edge
Forecast →