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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC St. Pauli — Union Berlin

Match FC St. Pauli vs Union Berlin November 23, 2025

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 16:30
0:1
Full-time
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
L L D W W Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Tobias Stieler, Germany
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.77 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.97 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.22 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.64 – 0.41
Δ +0.23
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Union Berlin arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Millerntor-Stadion. FC St. Pauli's defensive solidity is notable but their ongoing poor run dampens home momentum. Union's slightly sharper attack against St. Pauli's defense could unlock chances, while the away side's resilience in recent matches hints at a controlled pace.

  • Union's quality gap and form advantage
  • St. Pauli's defensive compactness vs Union's attacking pressure
  • Moderate tempo likely, favoring disciplined away side

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

PAU 3-5-2 · UNI 3-4-2-1
PAU · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · UNI 22 Vasilj 5 Wahl 8 Smith 3 Mets 11 Pyrka 16 Fujita 6 Sands 7 Irvine 23 Oppie 27 Hountondji 28 Lage 1 Rønnow 5 Doekhi 14 Querfeld 4 Leite 28 Trimmel 8 Khedira ⚽ 6 Kemlein 15 Rothe 7 Burke 10 Ansah 23 Ilić
Subs used · PAU
64' Sinani ↑ · Hountondji ↓
64' Ceesay ↑ · Irvine ↓
73' Metcalfe ↑ · Pyrka ↓
87' Kaars ↑ · Pereira Lage ↓
Subs used · UNI
65' Kral ↑ · Ilic ↓
73' Kohn ↑ · Rothe ↓
73' Woo-Yeong ↑ · Burke ↓
73' Haberer ↑ · Kemlein ↓
82' Skarke ↑ · Ansah ↓

📊 Statistics

PAU 0 – 1 UNI
59%
Possession (%)
41%
0.64
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.41
12
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
3
7
Shots Inside Box
7
8
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
8
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

12 · 0 – 1
Joel Chima Fujita
Yellow Card
▮
38'
44'
⚽
R. Khedira
Assist · A. Ilic · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
46'
▮
Rani Khedira
Yellow Card
D. Sinani ↓ · A. Hountondji ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
64'
A. Ceesay ↓ · J. Irvine ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
64'
65'
⇄
A. Kral ↓ · A. Ilic ↑
Substitution 1
C. Metcalfe ↓ · A. Pyrka ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
73'
⇄
D. Kohn ↓ · T. Rothe ↑
Substitution 2
73'
⇄
Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓ · O. Burke ↑
Substitution 3
73'
⇄
J. Haberer ↓ · A. Kemlein ↑
Substitution 4
82'
⇄
T. Skarke ↓ · I. Ansah ↑
Substitution 5
M. Kaars ↓ · M. Pereira Lage ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
87'
Full-time · 0 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.77 — 59% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
BTTS No 1.97 — 53% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.22 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.16 — 41% Cashed +1.16 Cashed
Home Win 2.55 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.81 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.59 — 69% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Away Win 3.06 — 41% Cashed +2.06 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.43 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.22 — 33% Cashed +2.22 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.28 — 79% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 — 89% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.39 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.37 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.10 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.87u −5% ROI