Match Rangers vs Aberdeen March 21, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.73 — +14.1% better than the market.

Rangers hold a clear quality edge at Ibrox, backed by strong home momentum and a solid defensive setup that challenges Aberdeen's attack. The visitors struggle for form and offensive output, facing a compact and disciplined home side. Expect a controlled tempo with Rangers pressing to capitalize on their home advantage and Aberdeen's recent inconsistencies.

Rangers' defensive solidity limits Aberdeen's chances
Home form and attacking edge favor Rangers
Likely moderate pace with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.73 ✗ Lost

AI 66% Implied 58% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RAN 4-2-3-1 · ABE 3-5-2

RAN · 4-2-3-1 3-5-2 · ABE

9 Chermiti

📊 Statistics

RAN 4 – 1 ABE

62%

Possession (%)

38%

1.64

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.54

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Rangers beat Aberdeen 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.64 to 0.54. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 6, 7 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.64 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.75 units (Brier 0.137).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.98	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.73	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.75	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	41%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.20	—	34%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Under 0.5	19.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.00	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.07	—	94%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Home Win	1.27	—	77%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.11	—	77%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.50	—	55%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Draw	6.02	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	89%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Double Chance X2	4.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.16	—	74%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
Away Win	12.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	8.10	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.75u	−34% ROI