Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian 2:1

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 4.20 — +14.8% better than the market.

With limited recent form data, this Premiership clash at Pittodrie Stadium hints at a balanced contest. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight leaning towards goals, reflecting a potential for both sides to find the net. Home advantage might offer Aberdeen a pressing edge, but Hearts’ away resilience could keep the match tight.

Home momentum could be key despite unclear form.
Both teams likely to test defenses actively.
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 4.20 ✓ Cashed

AI 27% Implied 24% +3.20u

+320%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ABE 3-4-1-2 · HEA 4-2-3-1

ABE · 3-4-1-2 4-2-3-1 · HEA

15 Nisbet

Statistics

ABE 2 – 1 HEA

51%

Possession (%)

49%

2.32

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.36

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Aberdeen beat Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.32 to 1.36. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 11, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.04 units (Brier 0.234).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	2.05	—	52%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.68	—	57%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.20	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	57%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS No	2.17	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.78	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	66%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Home Win	4.20	—	27%	Cashed	+3.20	Cashed
Draw	3.80	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.22	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	+0.04u	+0% ROI

Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled