Match ST Mirren vs Motherwell February 21, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Motherwell arrive with a clear quality edge and recent strong form, contrasting with ST Mirren's struggles and defensive vulnerabilities. The away side's offensive threat should test Mirren's leaky backline, while the home team’s modest home edge is unlikely to offset this. Expect a tactical battle with Motherwell pressing higher and exploiting set-pieces, but a cautious pace might limit goal volume.

Motherwell's attacking edge vs Mirren's defense
Home momentum tempered by recent form
Likely compact block and measured tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MIR 4-2-3-1 · MOT 4-2-3-1

MIR · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MOT

20 Young

📊 Statistics

MIR 0 – 5 MOT

29%

Possession (%)

71%

0.72

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.05

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

92%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Motherwell won 5–0 away at ST Mirren. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 92% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.05 to 0.72. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 11, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 5 from 2.05 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.35 units (Brier 0.230).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.07	—	57%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.85	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.45	—	49%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.75	—	49%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.82	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.05	—	37%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.12	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.42	—	75%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.32	—	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.50	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.57	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.00	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.60	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	82%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.34	—	62%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.50	—	17%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.35u	−8% ROI