Match FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV November 22, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.50 — +12.3% better than the market.

FC Augsburg holds a clear quality edge and a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the game tempo at WWK Arena. Their offensive edge against Hamburger SV's defense hints at chances created, though Augsburg's recent form shows some inconsistency. Hamburger SV's defensive solidity and slightly better recent points per game signal resilience, likely leading to a tactical, compact match.

Augsburg's home momentum and attacking potential
Hamburger SV's disciplined defensive setup
Moderate pace expected with balanced goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.50 ✓ Cashed

AI 75% Implied 67% +0.50u

+50%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AUG 3-4-3 · HAM 3-4-3

AUG · 3-4-3 3-4-3 · HAM

20 Claude-Maurice

Subs used · AUG

64'

Essende ↑ ·

Komur ↓

64'

Saad ↑ ·

Claude-Maurice ↓

73'

Rexhbecaj ↑ ·

Massengo ↓

83'

Zesiger ↑ ·

Rieder ↓

Subs used · HAM

72'

Philippe ↑ ·

Vieira ↓

82'

Glatzel ↑ ·

Torunarigha ↓

82'

Rossing-Lelesiit ↑ ·

Gocholeishvili ↓

86'

Ramos ↑ ·

Capaldo ↓

86'

Pherai ↑ ·

S. Lokonga ↓

📊 Statistics

AUG 1 – 0 HAM

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.38

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.23

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 0

Keven Schlotterbeck

Yellow Card

▮

34'

38'

▮

Nicolás Capaldo

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

61'

▮

Nicolai Remberg

Yellow Card

S. Essende ↓ · M. Komur ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

E. Saad ↓ · A. Claude-Maurice ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

72'

⇄

R. Philippe ↓ · F. Vieira ↑

Substitution 1

E. Rexhbecaj ↓ · H. Massengo ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

A. Kade

Assist · D. Giannoulis · 1–0

⚽

76'

Keven Schlotterbeck

Yellow Card

▮

81'

Keven Schlotterbeck

Red Card

▮

81'

82'

⇄

R. Glatzel ↓ · J. Torunarigha ↑

Substitution 2

82'

⇄

A. Rossing-Lelesiit ↓ · G. Gocholeishvili ↑

Substitution 3

C. Zesiger ↓ · F. Rieder ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

85'

▮

Luka Vušković

Yellow Card

86'

⇄

G. Ramos ↓ · N. Capaldo ↑

Substitution 4

86'

⇄

I. Pherai ↓ · A. S. Lokonga ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

FC Augsburg beat Hamburger SV 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Kade (76'). Keven Schlotterbeck was sent off in the 81' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.34 units (Brier 0.181).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.22	—	54%	Cashed	+1.22	Cashed
BTTS No	2.43	—	50%	Cashed	+1.43	Cashed
Home Win	2.42	—	50%	Cashed	+1.42	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.78	—	50%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.64	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.77	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.20	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	75%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.44	—	75%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	29%	Cashed	+3.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.00	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.95	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.23	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.34u	+2% ROI

Match FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV November 22, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.50 — +12.3% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled