P
Prognosist
P
Home Germany Germany Bundesliga VfL Wolfsburg — Bayer Leverkusen

Match VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen November 22, 2025 — Result and Stats

VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
Home · last 5 D L W D L
Kick-off
Sat 22 Nov · 14:30
1:3
Full-time
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W L D Away · last 5
Volkswagen Arena · Wolfsburg Referee Robert Hartmann, Germany
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 56% · book 2.10
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 38% · book 2.65
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.68
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
2.22 – 1.12
Δ +1.10
Possession
38% – 62%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayer Leverkusen arrives at Volkswagen Arena with clear momentum, boasting a strong recent form compared to Wolfsburg's struggles. Their offensive edge against Wolfsburg's defense suggests they can unlock chances, while Wolfsburg's home advantage is limited by their poor form and defensive vulnerabilities. Expect Leverkusen to press high and exploit set-piece opportunities in a match leaning towards a lively goal environment.

  • Leverkusen's superior quality and recent wins
  • Wolfsburg's defensive frailties at home
  • Potential for an open, attacking game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

WOL 4-2-3-1 · BAY 3-4-2-1
Subs used · WOL
46' Koulierakis ↑ · Seelt
61' Svanberg ↑ · Wimmer
61' Eriksen ↑ · Gerhardt
61' Wind ↑ · Pejcinovic
84' Burger ↑ · Kumbedi
Subs used · BAY
46' Quansah ↑ · Maza
64' Terrier ↑ · Tillman
75' Belocian ↑ · Grimaldo
75' Kofane ↑ · Schick
86' Tella ↑ · Poku

📊 Statistics

WOL 13 BAY
38%
Possession (%)
62%
2.22
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.12
21
Total Shots
7
10
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
4
14
Shots Inside Box
3
9
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
7
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
9

Match events

17 · 1 – 3
9'
J. Hofmann
Assist · A. Grimaldo · 0–1
24'
E. Tapsoba
Assist · A. Garcia · 0–2
33'
M. Tillman
Assist · P. Schick · 0–3
Dženan Pejčinović
Yellow Card
34'
Mohamed Amoura
Yellow Card
40'
Half-time · 0 – 3
K. Koulierakis ↓ · J. Seelt ↑
Substitution 1
46'
46'
J. Quansah ↓ · I. Maza ↑
Substitution 1
D. Vavro
Assist · M. Arnold · 1–3
57'
M. Svanberg ↓ · P. Wimmer ↑
Substitution 2
61'
C. Eriksen ↓ · Y. Gerhardt ↑
Substitution 3
61'
J. Wind ↓ · D. Pejcinovic ↑
Substitution 4
61'
64'
M. Terrier ↓ · M. Tillman ↑
Substitution 2
75'
J. Belocian ↓ · A. Grimaldo ↑
Substitution 3
75'
C. Kofane ↓ · P. Schick ↑
Substitution 4
76'
Robert Andrich
Yellow Card
J. Burger ↓ · S. Kumbedi ↑
Substitution 5
84'
86'
N. Tella ↓ · E. Poku ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 3

Match recap

Bayer Leverkusen won 3–1 away at VfL Wolfsburg. At half-time it was 0–3.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.22 to 1.12. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 7, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 9 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.12 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Hofmann (9'), E. Tapsoba (24'), M. Tillman (33'), D. Vavro (57').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.90 units (Brier 0.131).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.10 56% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.65 38% Cashed +1.65 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.68 60% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
BTTS No 2.57 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.38 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.85 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.70 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.35 79% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.57 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.55 61% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.53 56% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 82% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Draw 3.95 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.59 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.90u −23% ROI