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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › VfB Stuttgart — FC Augsburg

Predictions by Market: VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Home · last 5 L D D W D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 16:30
3:2
Full-time
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
W D W W L Away · last 5
Referee Harm Osmers, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · STU
68%
Best 1.51
Draw
20%
Best 4.40
Away Win · AUG
12%
Best 6.20
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.62
Fair odds
2.30
book 2.62 · +14.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 44% · EV +14.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (56%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.2%
Odds 4.83
Show model details
Implied probability 20.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 11.7%
Odds 6.25
Show model details
Implied probability 16%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 43.5%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35.1%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.3%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.8%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.2%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.7%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.6%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.4%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 11.7%
Odds 4.55
Show model details
Implied probability 22%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 31.9%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.3%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
STU – AUG @ 2.62
+14.1%
Edge
Forecast →