Match Motherwell vs Falkirk October 18, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between Motherwell and Falkirk, Motherwell is favored with a 56.2% estimated probability of winning, compared to the odds-implied 49.75%. The odds for a home win are 2.01, suggesting potential value. Meanwhile, the 'Under 2.5 Goals' market offers a solid opportunity with a 54.77% estimated probability against odds of 2.12. Expect a cautious approach from both sides, with Motherwell's overall strength and home advantage likely to play a crucial role.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MOT 4-3-1-2 · FAL 4-2-3-1

MOT · 4-3-1-2 4-2-3-1 · FAL

90 Said

📊 Statistics

MOT 1 – 2 FAL

67%

Possession (%)

33%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

68%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Falkirk won 2–1 away at Motherwell. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 9, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.54 units (Brier 0.257).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 1.5	4.33	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.12	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.25	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.01	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.30	—	81%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.45	—	75%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.70	—	19%	Cashed	+2.70	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	50%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	—	70%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.75	—	45%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.90	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.85	—	44%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.48	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.74	—	19%	Cashed	+1.74	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.54u	−9% ROI