Match Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg November 7, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

Werder Bremen holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against a struggling Wolfsburg side. Bremen's compact defense and effective pressing could stifle Wolfsburg's attack, which has faltered recently. The home side's offensive edge versus Wolfsburg's defense suggests chances to break through, while Wolfsburg's defensive solidity might limit the scoring spree.

Home advantage with solid defensive shape
Wolfsburg's poor recent form and scoring struggles
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

WER 4-2-3-1 · WOL 4-2-3-1

WER · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · WOL

9 Topp

Subs used · WER

65'

Boniface ↑ ·

Njinmah ↓

65'

Mbangula ↑ ·

Topp ↓

80'

Schmidt ↑ ·

Coulibaly ↓

86'

Puertas ↑ ·

Lynen ↓

86'

Bittencourt ↑ ·

Grull ↓

Subs used · WOL

67'

Wimmer ↑ ·

Svanberg ↓

80'

Wind ↑ ·

Amoura ↓

87'

Skov Olsen ↑ ·

Daghim ↓

87'

Pejcinovic ↑ ·

Eriksen ↓

📊 Statistics

WER 2 – 1 WOL

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.41

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.58

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 2 – 1

28'

⚽

M. Svanberg

Assist · S. Kumbedi · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

Marco Friedl

Yellow Card

▮

61'

V. Boniface ↓ · J. Njinmah ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

65'

S. Mbangula ↓ · K. Topp ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

65'

67'

⇄

P. Wimmer ↓ · M. Svanberg ↑

Substitution 1

I. Schmidt ↓ · K. Coulibaly ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

⇄

J. Wind ↓ · M. Amoura ↑

Substitution 2

J. Stage

Assist · Y. Sugawara · 1–1

⚽

83'

C. Puertas ↓ · S. Lynen ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

L. Bittencourt ↓ · M. Grull ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

87'

⇄

A. Skov Olsen ↓ · A. Daghim ↑

Substitution 3

87'

⇄

D. Pejcinovic ↓ · C. Eriksen ↑

Substitution 4

S. Mbangula

Assist · V. Boniface · 2–1

⚽

90'

Romano Schmid

Yellow Card

▮

90+6'

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Werder Bremen beat VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.41 to 0.58. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 7, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 13 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

On the scoresheet: M. Svanberg (28'), J. Stage (83'), S. Mbangula (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.62 units (Brier 0.114).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.31	—	52%	Cashed	+1.31	Cashed
BTTS No	2.63	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.45	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.65	—	59%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.48	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.66	—	52%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.73	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.38	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.42	—	76%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.58	—	63%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.52	—	61%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Away Win	3.16	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	80%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Draw	3.84	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.62u	−27% ROI

Match Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg November 7, 2025 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled