Match AS Roma vs VfB Stuttgart January 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AS Roma come into this one with strong momentum and a clear idea of how to manage games at home, especially when they can control territory and protect their box well. VfB Stuttgart are in good form too and have enough pace and structure to stay dangerous on the break, but this looks like a matchup where the hosts can limit the clean chances and turn it into a tight, tactical contest.

Overall, Roma look slightly better placed to take something from the match, yet Stuttgart are competitive enough to keep it close and make a draw a very live outcome.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

ROM 3-4-2-1 · STU 3-4-2-1

ROM · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · STU

11 Ferguson

📊 Statistics

ROM 2 – 0 STU

50%

Possession (%)

50%

0.94

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.77

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

AS Roma beat VfB Stuttgart 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.77 to 0.94. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 8 landed and 7 missed, for a net -2.05 units (Brier 0.200).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 8 W · 7 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.83	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.82	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.88	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.84	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	69%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
BTTS No	2.24	—	44%	Cashed	+1.24	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.26	—	78%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.13	—	46%	Cashed	+1.13	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.69	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.05	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.80	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.31	—	68%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Home Win	2.03	—	38%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.49	—	38%	Cashed	+0.49	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 7 L	−2.05u	−14% ROI