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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Plzen — FC Porto

Predictions by Market: Plzen vs FC Porto

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Plzen
Plzen
Home · last 5 D D W D D
Kick-off
Thu 22 Jan · 17:45
1:1
Full-time
FC Porto
FC Porto
W W W D L Away · last 5
Doosan Aréna · Plzeň Referee Andris Treimanis, Latvia

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PLZ
18%
Best 4.75
Draw
30%
Best 3.56
Away Win · POR
52%
Best 1.79
Value pick
Draw
@ 3.60
Fair odds
3.33
book 3.60 · +8.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 30% · EV +8.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (52%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 30%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 18%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 5 markets
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 54%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 54.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality High
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 50%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 50%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 1 market
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 82%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 48%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
PLZ – POR @ 3.60
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →