Plzen and FC Porto drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.07 to 0.29. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 10, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 8 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.27 units (Brier 0.187).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away Win | 2.03 | — | 52% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 3.60 | — | 30% | Cashed | +2.60 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.28 | — | 82% | Cashed | +0.28 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.38 | — | 74% | Cashed | +0.38 | Cashed |
| Over 0.5 | 1.08 | — | 93% | Cashed | +0.08 | Cashed |
| Under 2.5 | 1.82 | — | 54% | Cashed | +0.82 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 2.14 | — | 46% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 1.92 | — | 50% | Cashed | +0.92 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 1.92 | — | 50% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.29 | — | 74% | Cashed | +0.29 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.90 | — | 48% | Cashed | +0.90 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 4.20 | — | 18% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 1.43 | — | 52% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 13 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 5 L | +1.27u | +10% ROI |
