Match SC Freiburg vs Maccabi Tel Aviv January 22, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Thu 22 Jan · 17:45
1:0
Full-time
Europa-Park Stadion · Freiburg im Breisgau
Referee Mohammed Al-Hakim, Sweden
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.62
✓
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 18% · book 8.15
✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 24% · book 5.45
✗
xG (open play)
2.96 – 0.17
Δ +2.79
AI accuracy
7 / 16
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
SC Freiburg host Maccabi Tel Aviv at Europa-Park Stadion with the clear edge in stability and match control. Freiburg should dictate territory, press higher, and create the cleaner chances, while Maccabi arrive low on confidence after a difficult run and may spend long stretches defending. The visitors can still threaten on transitions, so a single away goal is not impossible, but the most likely game script is Freiburg leading the tempo and finding enough openings to get on top. Overall, this profiles as a home-led performance with a realistic chance of multiple goals, without necessarily turning into a chaotic shootout.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
⛀ Lineups
FRE 4-2-3-1 · MAC 3-4-2-1
📊 Statistics
FRE 1
– 0 MAC
2.96
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.17
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
Match recap
SC Freiburg beat Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.96 to 0.17. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 4, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 7 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.80 units (Brier 0.171).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
16 · 7 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| BTTS No |
1.62 |
— |
59% |
Cashed |
+0.62 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
8.15 |
— |
18% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
5.45 |
— |
24% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
2.53 |
— |
41% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.39 |
— |
43% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.62 |
— |
38% |
Cashed |
+1.62 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.03 |
— |
95% |
Cashed |
+0.03 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.04 |
— |
94% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
18.50 |
— |
6% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.17 |
— |
82% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.68 |
— |
57% |
Cashed |
+0.68 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.53 |
— |
62% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
1.19 |
— |
76% |
Cashed |
+0.19 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.02 |
— |
76% |
Cashed |
+0.02 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home -1 |
1.24 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home -2 |
1.94 |
— |
33% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 16 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
7 W · 9 L |
−5.80u |
−36% ROI |
