BSC Young Boys vs Lille 1:0: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Thu 11 Dec · 17:45
1:0
Full-time
Lille
W
L
W
L
L
Away · last 5
Stade de Suisse Wankdorf Bern · Bern
Referee Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.68
✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 65% · book 1.64
✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 40% · book 2.55
✗
xG (open play)
1.54 – 0.82
Δ +0.72
AI accuracy
9 / 18
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.64 — +7.0% better than the market.
Young Boys are very dangerous at home and usually play with a lot of courage going forward, but Lille look more balanced between attack and defence and have better overall form. We can expect an open match with chances on both sides, where Lille’s quality in transitions should give them the edge, although the Swiss champions are likely to score as well.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.64
✗ Lost
AI 65%
Implied 61%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
YOU 4-2-3-1 · LIL 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
YOU 1
– 0 LIL
1.54
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.82
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
Match recap
BSC Young Boys beat Lille 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.
On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.54 to 0.82. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 18 graded markets, 9 landed and 9 missed, for a net +5.90 units (Brier 0.354).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
18 · 9 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.68 |
— |
63% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.64 |
— |
65% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.55 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.23 |
— |
83% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
4.80 |
— |
21% |
Cashed |
+3.80 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home +2 |
1.20 |
— |
84% |
Cashed |
+0.20 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
3.49 |
— |
28% |
Cashed |
+2.49 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
95% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
1.75 |
— |
56% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.20 |
— |
82% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.24 |
— |
23% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
2.21 |
— |
44% |
Cashed |
+1.21 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.57 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.57 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.30 |
— |
72% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.39 |
— |
37% |
Cashed |
+1.39 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.90 |
— |
18% |
Cashed |
+3.90 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
17.50 |
— |
5% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.30 |
— |
35% |
Cashed |
+1.30 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 18 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
9 W · 9 L |
+5.90u |
+33% ROI |
