Match BSC Young Boys vs Lille December 11, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Thu 11 Dec · 17:45
1:0
Full-time
Lille
W
L
W
L
L
Away · last 5
Stadion Wankdorf · Bern
Referee Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.68
✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 65% · book 1.64
✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 40% · book 2.55
✗
xG (open play)
1.54 – 0.82
Δ +0.72
AI accuracy
9 / 18
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.68 — +6.0% better than the market.
Young Boys are very dangerous at home and usually play with a lot of courage going forward, but Lille look more balanced between attack and defence and have better overall form. We can expect an open match with chances on both sides, where Lille’s quality in transitions should give them the edge, although the Swiss champions are likely to score as well.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.68
✗ Lost
AI 63%
Implied 60%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
YOU 4-2-3-1 · LIL 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
YOU 1
– 0 LIL
1.54
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.82
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
Match recap
BSC Young Boys beat Lille 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.
On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.54 to 0.82. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 18 graded markets, 9 landed and 9 missed, for a net +5.90 units (Brier 0.354).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
18 · 9 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.68 |
— |
63% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.64 |
— |
65% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.55 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.23 |
— |
83% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
4.80 |
— |
21% |
Cashed |
+3.80 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home +2 |
1.20 |
— |
84% |
Cashed |
+0.20 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
3.49 |
— |
28% |
Cashed |
+2.49 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
95% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
1.75 |
— |
56% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.20 |
— |
82% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.24 |
— |
23% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
2.21 |
— |
44% |
Cashed |
+1.21 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.57 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.57 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.30 |
— |
72% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.39 |
— |
37% |
Cashed |
+1.39 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.90 |
— |
18% |
Cashed |
+3.90 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
17.50 |
— |
5% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.30 |
— |
35% |
Cashed |
+1.30 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 18 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
9 W · 9 L |
+5.90u |
+33% ROI |
