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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Panathinaikos — Sturm Graz

Predictions by Market: Panathinaikos vs Sturm Graz

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
Home · last 5 D D D W L
Kick-off
Thu 27 Nov · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
D L L L W Away · last 5
Referee Simone Sozza, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PAN
46%
Best 1.68
Draw
26%
Best 3.85
VALUE
Away Win · STU
28%
Best 5.00
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 11.50
Fair odds
10.00
book 11.50 · +15.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 10% · EV +15.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (90%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Value pick
Probability 28%
Odds 5.37
Show model details
Implied probability 18.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 46%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 52%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5 Longshot value
Probability 10%
Odds 11.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 30%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 90%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 54%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 1 market
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 37.8%
Odds 3.81
Show model details
Implied probability 26.2%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 54%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
PAN – STU @ 11.50
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →