Panathinaikos beat Sturm Graz 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 0.71 to 0.20. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 7 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.48 units (Brier 0.135).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.96 | — | 52% | Cashed | +0.96 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 11.50 | — | 10% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 5.37 | — | 28% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 3.81 | — | 38% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 2.24 | — | 54% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 3.40 | — | 30% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.29 | — | 75% | Cashed | +0.29 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.20 | — | 72% | Cashed | +0.20 | Cashed |
| Over 0.5 | 1.06 | — | 90% | Cashed | +0.06 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 1.75 | — | 46% | Cashed | +0.75 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.87 | — | 54% | Cashed | +0.87 | Cashed |
| Draw | 4.00 | — | 26% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.39 | — | 70% | Cashed | +0.39 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 1.99 | — | 46% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 2.01 | — | 48% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 4.00 | — | 25% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 16 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 7 W · 9 L | −5.48u | −34% ROI |
