Match Bologna vs Red Bull Salzburg November 27, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.70 — +12.7% better than the market.

Bologna vs Red Bull Salzburg looks like a European clash where the Italians should control long spells at home thanks to their compact defence and structured build-up, while Salzburg remain dangerous in transition but less reliable at the back away from home. Overall we expect Bologna to have the upper hand, a medium-tempo game with a good chance of goals but not necessarily a goal fest. From a betting perspective this match opens up several interesting handicap and total goals angles, with Bologna favoured but Salzburg still offering some value on high-price outcomes.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.70 ✗ Lost

AI 24% Implied 21% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BOL 4-2-3-1 · SAL 4-4-2

BOL · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · SAL

24 Dallinga

📊 Statistics

BOL 4 – 1 SAL

52%

Possession (%)

48%

3.75

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.68

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Bologna beat Red Bull Salzburg 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.75 to 1.68. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 29 shots to 8, 13 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.33 units (Brier 0.156).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	3.11	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	8.60	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.70	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.01	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.20	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.40	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	16.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.45	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.03	—	49%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	76%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
BTTS No	1.82	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.11	—	84%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.79	—	52%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Home Win	1.44	—	62%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.88	—	30%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.12	—	62%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.33u	−25% ROI

Match Bologna vs Red Bull Salzburg November 27, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.70 — +12.7% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled