Fenerbahçe and Ferencvarosi TC drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.27 to 0.64. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 5, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 18 graded markets, 9 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.17 units (Brier 0.164).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.71 | — | 60% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 5.57 | — | 23% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 2.41 | — | 48% | Cashed | +1.41 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 16.00 | — | 7% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 4.34 | — | 25% | Cashed | +3.34 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.74 | — | 58% | Cashed | +0.74 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 | — | 80% | Cashed | +0.22 | Cashed |
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 | — | 65% | Cashed | +0.50 | Cashed |
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 | — | 93% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| AH Home +1 | 1.05 | — | 92% | Cashed | +0.05 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 4.13 | — | 23% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 2.70 | — | 35% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.21 | — | 77% | Cashed | +0.21 | Cashed |
| Under 2.5 | 2.32 | — | 40% | Cashed | +1.32 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 4.60 | — | 20% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 2.16 | — | 42% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 1.70 | — | 52% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 1.26 | — | 52% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 18 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 9 W · 9 L | −1.17u | −7% ROI |
