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Plzen vs Fenerbahçe 0:0: Match Review & Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Plzen
Plzen
Home · last 5 D D W D D
Kick-off
Thu 06 Nov · 20:00
0:0
Full-time
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
W L D L W Away · last 5
Doosan Aréna · Plzeň Referee Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 47% · book 2.40 ✗
Hit
AH Home +1
AH Home +1
AI 84% · book 1.31 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.38 ✓
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
1.03 – 1.27
Δ −0.24
Possession
39% – 61%
AI accuracy
7 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Home +1 at 1.31 — +10.0% better than the market.

At Doosan Arena, Plzeň’s home rhythm and compact shape meet a Fenerbahçe side that travels well and controls territory. Expect the visitors to edge the chance quality, but the hosts’ set-pieces and crowd keep this competitive. Low-to-medium scoring unless an early goal stretches the game.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · AH Home +1
AH Home +1 @ 1.31 ✓ Cashed
AI 84% Implied 76% +0.31u
+31%
ROI on stake

Statistics

PLZ 0 – 0 FEN
39%
Possession (%)
61%
1.03
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.27
18
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
5
11
Shots Inside Box
6
11
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
8
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
3
Yellow Cards
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match recap

Plzen and Fenerbahçe drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 7 landed and 10 missed, for a net -3.07 units (Brier 0.242).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 7 W · 10 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.40 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home +1 1.31 — 84% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
BTTS No 2.38 — 45% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.15 — 49% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.42 — 72% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 — 69% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.89 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.28 — 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 92% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.10 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.62 — 26% Cashed +2.62 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.68 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.65 — 57% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.76 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.24 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home -1 5.50 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 10 L −3.07u −18% ROI
Value pick of the night · AH Home +1
PLZ – FEN @ 1.31
+10.0%
Edge
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