Aston Villa beat Maccabi Tel Aviv 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.98 to 1.02. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 6, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.
Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 7 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.37 units (Brier 0.108).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 1.70 | — | 62% | Cashed | +0.70 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 1.80 | — | 56% | Cashed | +0.80 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 13.70 | — | 9% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 4.66 | — | 23% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 2.62 | — | 38% | Cashed | +1.62 | Cashed |
| Draw | 7.00 | — | 14% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.17 | — | 82% | Cashed | +0.17 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.53 | — | 62% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 0.5 | 19.50 | — | 10% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 | — | 90% | Cashed | +0.03 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 2.12 | — | 44% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 1.26 | — | 77% | Cashed | +0.26 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 5.50 | — | 18% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 10.00 | — | 9% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 1.05 | — | 77% | Cashed | +0.05 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 2.35 | — | 38% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 16 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 7 W · 9 L | −5.37u | −34% ROI |