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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC St. Pauli — 1899 Hoffenheim

Match FC St. Pauli vs 1899 Hoffenheim October 19, 2025

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 15:30
0:3
Full-time
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
W W D W L Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Sven Jablonski, Germany
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 69% · book 1.58 ✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 43% · book 2.88 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.87 ✓
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
0.95 – 2.08
Δ −1.13
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

In the clash between FC St. Pauli and 1899 Hoffenheim, the away side holds a slight edge with a 43.05% estimated probability of winning, against the posted odds of 2.88. The match is expected to be competitive, with a good chance of goals, as indicated by the 54.85% probability for Over 2.5 Goals. Both teams are likely to find the net, with BTTS Yes having a 59.23% probability. The Double Chance X2 market also presents value, offering a safety net for Hoffenheim with a 68.61% probability.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

PAU 3-4-1-2 · HOF 4-4-2
PAU · 3-4-1-2 4-4-2 · HOF 22 Vasilj 25 Dźwigała 8 Smith 21 Ritzka 11 Pyrka 6 Sands 16 Fujita 23 Oppie 10 Sinani 19 Kaars 28 Lage 1 Baumann 34 Coufal 2 Hranáč 21 Hajdari 13 Bernardo 27 Kramarić ⚽ 18 Burger 7 Avdullahu 29 Touré ⚽ 19 Lemperle 11 Asllani
Subs used · PAU
63' Hountondji ↑ · Pereira Lage ↓
63' Afolayan ↑ · Kaars ↓
75' Mets ↑ · Ritzka ↓
75' Ceesay ↑ · Dzwigala ↓
82' Metcalfe ↑ · Fujita ↓
Subs used · HOF
71' Promel ↑ · Asllani ↓
76' Prass ↑ · Toure ↓
76' Moerstedt ↑ · Kramaric ↓
86' Kabak ↑ · Hajdari ↓
86' Bebou ↑ · Lemperle ↓

📊 Statistics

PAU 0 – 3 HOF
49%
Possession (%)
51%
0.95
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.08
10
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
5
2
Shots off Target
6
4
Shots Inside Box
10
9
Corner Kicks
7
4
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
17
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

17 · 0 – 3
43'
▮
Wouter Burger
Yellow Card
44'
▮
Albian Hajdari
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
54'
⚽
B. Toure
Assist · A. Kramaric · 0–1
59'
⚽
A. Kramaric
Assist · V. Coufal · 0–2
A. Hountondji ↓ · M. Pereira Lage ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
63'
O. Afolayan ↓ · M. Kaars ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
63'
Adam Dźwigała
Yellow Card
▮
67'
71'
⇄
G. Promel ↓ · F. Asllani ↑
Substitution 1
K. Mets ↓ · L. Ritzka ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
A. Ceesay ↓ · A. Dzwigala ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
75'
76'
⇄
A. Prass ↓ · B. Toure ↑
Substitution 2
76'
⇄
M. Moerstedt ↓ · A. Kramaric ↑
Substitution 3
79'
⚽
G. Promel
Assist · W. Burger · 0–3
C. Metcalfe ↓ · J. Fujita ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
86'
⇄
O. Kabak ↓ · A. Hajdari ↑
Substitution 4
86'
⇄
I. Bebou ↓ · T. Lemperle ↑
Substitution 5
87'
▮
Robin Hranáč
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 3

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.58 — 69% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Away Win 2.88 — 43% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.87 — 55% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.66 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.26 — 79% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.54 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.64 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.30 — 41% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 — 95% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.70 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.20 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.08 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.42 — 66% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.48 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.86 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.09 — 43% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.55u −15% ROI