P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament
Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1. FC Heidenheim — Werder Bremen

1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 13:30
2:2
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
W D L L L Away · last 5
Voith-Arena · Heidenheim an der Brenz Referee Patrick Ittrich, Germany
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 49% · book 2.45 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.28 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 74% · book 1.46 ✓
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.83 – 1.33
Δ +1.50
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.51 — +11.3% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between 1. FC Heidenheim and Werder Bremen, the odds suggest a competitive match with Werder Bremen slightly favored. Our model estimates a 49.18% chance for an Away Win at odds of 2.45, offering a promising expected value. The Under 2.5 Goals market also presents value, with a 53.72% estimated probability against odds of 2.28. Additionally, the Double Chance X2 market is appealing, with a high confidence level and a 74.31% estimated probability.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.51 ✗ Lost
AI 74% Implied 66% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

HEI 4-4-2 · WER 4-3-3
HEI · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · WER 41 Ramaj 23 Traore 6 Mainka 4 Siersleben 19 Föhrenbach ⚽ 21 Beck 3 Schöppner 30 Dorsch 22 Ibrahimović 29 Kaufmann 11 Zivzivadze 30 Backhaus 3 Sugawara 5 Pieper 31 Coulibaly 32 Friedl 24 Čović 6 Stage ⚽ 18 Puertas 17 Grüll ⚽ 20 Schmid 7 Mbangula
Subs used · HEI
33' Schimmer ↑ · Kaufmann ↓
63' Busch ↑ · Schoppner ↓
79' Niehues ↑ · Beck ↓
79' Honsak ↑ · Dorsch ↓
79' Pieringer ↑ · Zivzivadze ↓
Subs used · WER
63' Njinmah ↑ · Mbangula ↓
68' Bittencourt ↑ · Puertas ↓
68' Boniface ↑ · Covic ↓

Statistics

HEI 2 – 2 WER
55%
Possession (%)
45%
2.83
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.33
31
Total Shots
11
11
Shots on Target
4
10
Shots off Target
5
17
Shots Inside Box
8
12
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
0
31
Fouls
11
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
1
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
9

Match events

16 · 2 – 2
Tim Siersleben
Yellow Card
▮
11'
S. Schimmer ↓ · M. Kaufmann ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
33'
34'
▮
Cameron Puertas
Yellow Card
45+2'
▮
Patrice Čović
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
50'
⚽
M. Grull
Assist · R. Schmid · 0–1
M. Busch ↓ · J. Schoppner ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
63'
63'
⇄
J. Njinmah ↓ · S. Mbangula ↑
Substitution 1
S. Schimmer
Assist · M. Busch · 1–1
⚽
67'
68'
⇄
L. Bittencourt ↓ · C. Puertas ↑
Substitution 2
68'
⇄
V. Boniface ↓ · P. Covic ↑
Substitution 3
69'
⚽
J. Stage
Assist · R. Schmid · 1–2
J. Niehues ↓ · A. Beck ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
79'
M. Honsak ↓ · N. Dorsch ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
79'
M. Pieringer ↓ · B. Zivzivadze ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
79'
83'
▮
Leonardo Bittencourt
Yellow Card
J. Fohrenbach
Assist · P. Mainka · 2–2
⚽
83'
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

1. FC Heidenheim and Werder Bremen drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.83 to 1.33. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 31 shots to 11, 11 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 9 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Grull (50'), S. Schimmer (67'), J. Stage (69'), J. Fohrenbach (83').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.87 units (Brier 0.220).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.45 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.28 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.46 — 74% Cashed +0.46 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.51 — 74% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.54 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.97 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.72 — 25% Cashed +2.72 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 — 54% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 — 92% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 — 72% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.74 — 46% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 — 26% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.62 — 51% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.18 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.80 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.87u −11% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
HEI – WER @ 1.51
+11.3%
Edge
Forecast →