Match Larisa vs PAOK February 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.68 — +12.0% better than the market.

PAOK arrives with a clear quality edge and stronger offensive firepower, likely to challenge Larisa's compact defensive setup. Despite Larisa's recent home momentum, PAOK's pressing and superior form suggest they will control the pace. The match hints at a tactical battle where PAOK's attack faces a resilient defense, but the away side's consistency and efficiency could tip the scales.

PAOK's offensive strength vs Larisa's defense
Home side's recent winning streak
Moderate pace expected with goal-scoring chances limited

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.68 ✗ Lost

AI 67% Implied 60% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AEL 3-4-3 · PAO 4-4-1-1

AEL · 3-4-3 4-4-1-1 · PAO

77 Sisto

📊 Statistics

AEL 1 – 1 PAO

40%

Possession (%)

60%

0.88

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.17

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Larisa and PAOK drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.17 to 0.88. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 6, 1 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.07 units (Brier 0.233).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.02	—	58%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
BTTS No	1.68	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.85	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.33	—	33%	Cashed	+1.33	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	78%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.80	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.37	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.07	—	93%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.06	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.00	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.27	—	19%	Cashed	+4.27	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	3.63	—	26%	Cashed	+2.63	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	85%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.27	—	65%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Home Win	11.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	6.90	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.07u	+6% ROI