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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Eintracht Frankfurt — Bayern München

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern München 0:3: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 16:30
0:3
Full-time
Bayern München
Bayern München
W W D W W Away · last 5
Referee Daniel Siebert, Germany
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 40% · book 2.97 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 30% · book 3.75 ✗
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 37% · book 2.97 ✗
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
0.39 – 1.71
Δ −1.32
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 3.75 — +12.5% better than the market.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern München: Bayern arrive in top form with a big quality edge, but Frankfurt’s punchy attack keeps volatility high. Expect a brisk tempo and a long stretch with the visitors on the ball, while the hosts look to break quickly.

Our model keeps core angles in focus: away-favored outcomes and a goals market that’s already priced aggressively. The clearest edges come from BTTS No and selective contrarian unders; conservative cover is 1X (home/draw) at a playable price if you expect a stubborn home resistance.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 3.75 ✗ Lost
AI 30% Implied 27% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

EIN 4-2-3-1 · BAY 4-2-3-1
EIN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BAY 40 Santos 24 Buta 4 Koch 3 Theate 21 Brown 16 Larsson 15 Skhiri 20 Doan 42 Y. Uzun 19 Bahoya 9 Burkardt 1 Neuer 23 Boey 2 Upamecano 4 Tah 27 Laimer 6 Kimmich 8 Goretzka 17 Olise 7 Gnabry 14 Diaz ⚽ 9 Kane ⚽
Subs used · EIN
65' Chaibi ↑ · Larsson ↓
65' Knauff ↑ · Y. Uzun ↓
78' Gotze ↑ · Bahoya ↓
78' Hojlund ↑ · Skhiri ↓
82' Wahi ↑ · Burkardt ↓
Subs used · BAY
46' Pavlovic ↑ · Goretzka ↓
71' Guerreiro ↑ · Gnabry ↓
85' Jackson ↑ · Kane ↓
88' Bischof ↑ · Boey ↓
88' Karl ↑ · Diaz ↓

Statistics

EIN 0 – 3 BAY
40%
Possession (%)
60%
0.39
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.71
6
Total Shots
12
1
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
5
2
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
5
11
Fouls
11
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

16 · 0 – 3
1'
⚽
L. Diaz
Assist · S. Gnabry · 0–1
14'
▮
Leon Goretzka
Yellow Card
27'
⚽
H. Kane
Assist · L. Diaz · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
46'
⇄
A. Pavlovic ↓ · L. Goretzka ↑
Substitution 1
F. Chaibi ↓ · H. Larsson ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
65'
A. Knauff ↓ · C. Y. Uzun ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
69'
▮
Luis Díaz
Yellow Card
71'
⇄
R. Guerreiro ↓ · S. Gnabry ↑
Substitution 2
M. Gotze ↓ · J. Bahoya ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
O. Hojlund ↓ · E. Skhiri ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
78'
Jonathan Burkardt
Yellow Card
▮
79'
E. Wahi ↓ · J. Burkardt ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
84'
⚽
L. Diaz
Assist · R. Guerreiro · 0–3
85'
⇄
N. Jackson ↓ · H. Kane ↑
Substitution 3
88'
⇄
T. Bischof ↓ · S. Boey ↑
Substitution 4
88'
⇄
L. Karl ↓ · L. Diaz ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 3

Match recap

Bayern München won 3–0 away at Eintracht Frankfurt. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.71 to 0.39. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 6, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Diaz (1'), H. Kane (27'), L. Diaz (84').

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net -0.74 units (Brier 0.136).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.97 — 40% Cashed +1.97 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.75 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.97 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 6.50 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 2.14 — 48% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
Draw 5.53 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.15 — 82% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each — — — 3 W · 4 L −0.74u −11% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
EIN – BAY @ 3.75
+12.5%
Edge
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