Aarhus vs Viborg 5:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.73 — +8.2% better than the market.

Aarhus enters this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, boasting a higher overall strength and a solid recent run. Their attacking prowess is likely to challenge Viborg's defense, which has shown vulnerabilities. Viborg's form is impressive but less consistent, and they face a tough task breaking down Aarhus' compact block. Expect a controlled tempo with Aarhus pressing to capitalize on their home advantage.

Home side's offensive edge against away defense
Recent form favors Aarhus' momentum
Moderate pace suggested by goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.73 ✓ Cashed

AI 63% Implied 58% +0.73u

+73%

ROI on stake

Lineups

AAR 3-4-3 · VIB 4-3-3

AAR · 3-4-3 4-3-3 · VIB

10 Arnstad

Statistics

AAR 5 – 2 VIB

57%

Possession (%)

43%

1.70

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.68

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Aarhus beat Viborg 5–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 1. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 1.70 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.25 units (Brier 0.144).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.73	—	63%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
BTTS No	2.20	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.18	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.72	—	54%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	54%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.76	—	32%	Cashed	+1.76	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.15	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	85%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.47	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.33	—	63%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.24	—	77%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Draw	4.17	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.75	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.37	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.25u	−25% ROI

Aarhus vs Viborg 5:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled