Randers FC vs Aarhus 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.18 — +14.9% better than the market.

Aarhus arrive at Cepheus Park with a clear quality edge and recent winning momentum, contrasting with Randers' struggles to find form. The visitors' stronger attack should challenge Randers' leaky defense, while the home side's limited offensive threat may struggle against Aarhus' compact block. Expect a tactical battle with Aarhus pressing for control and Randers aiming to contain and counter.

Aarhus' offensive edge vs Randers' defense
Home side's recent form lacks sharpness
Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.18 ✗ Lost

AI 53% Implied 46% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

RAN 4-4-2 · AAR 3-4-3

RAN · 4-4-2 3-4-3 · AAR

19 Toure

Statistics

RAN 1 – 2 AAR

50%

Possession (%)

50%

1.96

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.88

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Aarhus won 2–1 away at Randers FC. At half-time it was 1–2.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.96 to 0.88. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.75 units (Brier 0.129).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.41	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.15	—	54%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.18	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.79	—	47%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.63	—	50%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.72	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.47	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	—	74%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.35	—	79%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.57	—	54%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.05	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.55	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.24	—	72%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Home Win	3.55	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.75u	−28% ROI

Randers FC vs Aarhus 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled