Match TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz December 6, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

TSV Hartberg holds a clear quality edge and a slight home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo and leverage their offensive strengths against Lask Linz's defense. Despite Lask's better recent form and higher points per game, Hartberg's compact block and set-piece threat could disrupt the visitors' rhythm. The match hints at a balanced pace with moderate goal expectancy, favoring a tight contest where Hartberg's home momentum may be decisive.

Home side's offensive edge vs away defense
Recent form favors Lask but Hartberg's home edge matters
Moderate pace with potential for a disciplined, tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

HAR 5-3-2 · LAS 3-4-1-2

HAR · 5-3-2 3-4-1-2 · LAS

7 Havel

20 P. Molgaard Jorgensen

📊 Statistics

HAR 2 – 2 LAS

31%

Possession (%)

69%

1.68

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

3.16

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

70%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

TSV Hartberg and Lask Linz drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.16 to 1.68. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 29 shots to 11, 6 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.94 units (Brier 0.246).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.02	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.80	—	62%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS No	2.16	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.60	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.14	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	46%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.89	—	42%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.37	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.79	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.50	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.34	—	63%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	89%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Cashed	+2.70	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.55	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.29	—	66%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	21%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.94u	−6% ROI