FC BW Linz vs Austria Vienna 2:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.31 — +9.7% better than the market.

Austria Vienna arrive with a clear quality edge and a slightly better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. FC BW Linz’s defensive solidity at home could keep things tight, but Austria’s sharper attack against a less robust defense hints at scoring opportunities. The match may lean towards a controlled pace with moderate chances, favoring a disciplined away side looking to capitalize on their offensive advantage.

Austria’s offensive edge vs Linz’s defense
Linz’s home defensive resilience
Recent form favors Austria Vienna

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.31 ✗ Lost

AI 84% Implied 76% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LIN 4-3-3 · AUT 3-4-3

LIN · 4-3-3 3-4-3 · AUT

27 Goiginger

Statistics

LIN 2 – 3 AUT

45%

Possession (%)

55%

2.20

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.34

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

65%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Austria Vienna won 3–2 away at FC BW Linz. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 73% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.20 to 1.34. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 9, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.34 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.13 units (Brier 0.251).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.98	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.80	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.30	—	51%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.65	—	51%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.65	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	40%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.17	—	35%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.31	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	78%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.31	—	84%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.30	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	84%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.35	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.38	—	61%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Home Win	3.25	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.95	—	16%	Cashed	+2.95	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.13u	−7% ROI

FC BW Linz vs Austria Vienna 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled