Match TSV Hartberg vs Ried November 22, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.86 — +14.0% better than the market.

TSV Hartberg holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, supported by a stronger defensive setup that could stifle Ried’s attack. Despite Ried’s slightly better recent form, Hartberg’s home advantage and tactical discipline suggest a compact, low-scoring affair. The match may lean towards a cautious tempo, with both sides likely to prioritize defensive solidity over open play.

Home defensive resilience vs away offensive pressure
Recent form favors Ried but home edge is notable
Odds suggest a tight, under 2.5 goals game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.86 ✓ Cashed

AI 61% Implied 54% +0.86u

+86%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HAR 5-3-2 · RIE 3-4-3

HAR · 5-3-2 3-4-3 · RIE

7 Havel

📊 Statistics

HAR 2 – 0 RIE

40%

Possession (%)

60%

1.69

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.60

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

TSV Hartberg beat Ried 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 82% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 9, 4 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.95 units (Brier 0.138).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.04	—	57%	Cashed	+1.04	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.86	—	61%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
Home Win	2.80	—	43%	Cashed	+1.80	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.07	—	43%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.08	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.83	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.55	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.83	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.56	—	70%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.45	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.50	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	80%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	88%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.45	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	—	65%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.75	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.95u	−17% ROI