Match Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko April 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.87 — +14.9% better than the market.

Slovan Liberec holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Slovácko, who struggle to match their defensive solidity. Liberec’s compact block and superior defensive numbers suggest a controlled game with limited chances for the visitors. Recent form favors the hosts slightly, while the pace hints at a moderate tempo, likely keeping the goal count low.

Home defensive strength vs away attack mismatch
Liberec’s steady form at Stadion U Nisy
Moderate pace supporting a tight contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.87 ✗ Lost

AI 61% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LIB 4-2-3-1 · SLO 3-4-3

LIB · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · SLO

99 Krollis

📊 Statistics

LIB 2 – 1 SLO

58%

Possession (%)

42%

1.55

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.35

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Slovan Liberec beat Slovácko 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.55 to 0.35. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 5, 6 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.09 units (Brier 0.147).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.87	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.85	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.77	—	61%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.20	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.98	—	39%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	39%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	82%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.50	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.20	—	86%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.28	—	61%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Draw	3.74	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	81%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.33	—	62%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Away Win	5.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.58	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.09u	−30% ROI