Match Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava February 28, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.79 — +13.5% better than the market.

Sparta Praha enters this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong recent run and a significant quality edge over Baník Ostrava. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled to contain opponents, suggesting Sparta's pressing and set-piece threat could be decisive. Meanwhile, Baník's inconsistent form and limited offensive output hint at a tough night ahead.

Home side's attacking edge against away defense
Superior recent form and home comfort
Likely controlled tempo favoring Sparta's style

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.79 ✗ Lost

AI 63% Implied 56% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPA 4-2-3-1 · OST 5-3-2

SPA · 4-2-3-1 5-3-2 · OST

29 Vojta

📊 Statistics

SPA 5 – 2 OST

64%

Possession (%)

36%

3.81

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.14

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sparta Praha beat Baník Ostrava 5–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.81 to 0.14. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 5, 10 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.14 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.74 units (Brier 0.174).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.79	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.25	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.70	—	47%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.05	—	37%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.70	—	26%	Cashed	+1.70	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.40	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.08	—	93%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Home Win	1.35	—	74%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.10	—	74%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	5.14	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	88%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.43	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.23	—	68%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Away Win	9.50	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.80	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.74u	−28% ROI

Match Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava February 28, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks BTTS No at 1.79 — +13.5% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled