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Home FK Jablonec — Baník Ostrava

Preview FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava September 9, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
FK Jablonec
FK Jablonec
Home · last 5 W W L D L
Kick-off
Wed 09 Sep · 15:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Baník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava
L L W W L Away · last 5
Home Win · JAB
44%
Best 1.96
Draw
26%
Best 3.54
Away Win · OST
31%
Best 3.56

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 55% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

FK Jablonec arrives with strong home momentum, unbeaten in recent matches, contrasting with Baník Ostrava's mixed form. The home side's consistent point production and recent wins suggest a pressing edge, while Ostrava's defense may face challenges containing Jablonec's attack. The match is likely to be moderately paced, with a tendency towards fewer goals given the odds favoring under 2.5. Expect a tactical battle where Jablonec's home confidence and compact block could limit chances.

  • Jablonec's home form and points per game advantage
  • Ostrava's defensive vulnerabilities against steady offense
  • Moderate tempo favoring a controlled, less open game

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 44% FK Jablonec win
Over/Under 2.5 55% Under 2.5
BTTS 50% Yes
Double Chance 69% 1X
  • 1X2 FK Jablonec win 44%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55%
  • BTTS Yes 50%
  • Double Chance 1X 69%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
FK Jablonec
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 5 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 0.71 / 1.35
Baník Ostrava
W/D/L 2-0-3
Goals (for / against) 3 / 10
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 0.99 / 1.53

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.17
Goals Scored
0.67
1
Goals Conceded
1.67
0.58
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
3.50
Shots on Target
3.33
4.33
Corners
5.17
53.67
Possession (%)
45.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
19
OFF · home
31
56
DEF · home
31
31
OFF · away
19
62
DEF · away
6
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

FK Jablonec wins when scoring first
Baník Ostrava wins when scoring first
FK Jablonec BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Baník Ostrava BTTS rate · last 10
10%
FK Jablonec Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Baník Ostrava Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
FK Jablonec comeback rate · last 10
25%
Baník Ostrava comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

FK Jablonec · last 5 at home

0–15 11%
16–30 33%
31–45 33%
46–60 11%
61–75 11%
76–90 0%

Baník Ostrava · last 6 away

0–15 49%
16–30 25%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 25%
Front-loaded — most goals fall in the opening half-hour.

Top scorers

M. Cedidla
JAB · Defender
3 G · 0.73 g/90
J. Suchan
JAB · Midfielder
1 G · 0.41 g/90
V. Jurečka
OST · Attacker
1 G · 0.81 g/90
Artúr Musák
OST · Midfielder
0 G